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Sam Benzacar of Anatech Electronics, an RF and microwave filter company, has published
his December 2021 newsletter that features his short op−ed entitled "My
Prediction for 2022," where he prognosticates in some specificity that the major
problems with millimeter technology will be solved for 5G, the defense market
will grow for RF and microwave manufacturers, the gap in the digital divide will
further close and the commercial satellite market will provide significant
revenue to the industry. An admission to getting one last year's major
predictions wrong is also included.
A Word from Sam Benzacar
My Prediction for 2022
By Sam Benzacar
At this time every year, I make my best attempt to predict what the coming year
will bring for the RF and microwave industry. A sad commentary on last year's prediction
is that while 2020 was a year like "no other in memory," 2021 would be different.
Now, 12 months later, it turns out I was wrong as the pandemic continues its destructive
path across the world. Being an optimist, I'm going to make the same prediction
for 2022 in the hope that in the coming year, the scourge will be gone or at least
diminished. So here are my technology and market predictions for 2022.
The Major Problems with Millimeter Technology Will Be Solved for 5G
As everyone reading this column obviously knows, propagation conditions that
millimeter-wave frequencies are problematic at best, and some naysayers last year
predicted it would be "dead." The reason, they say, is that the astronomical cost
of deploying small cells everywhere would be financially catastrophic for wireless
carriers and other providers. I beg to differ. An innovative approach promises to
dramatically reduce the number of small cells through the use of repeaters, AI,
cloud-based processing resources, and mesh-based topology.
Simply stated, a central hub with access to optical fiber connects to a wireless
base station operating at one of the allocated millimeter-wave frequencies. The
base station sends its signal to repeaters that combine higher RF output power than
small cells that can send narrow beams to multiple destinations that can be reconfigured
on the fly to address changing traffic conditions using phased-array antennas and
intelligent algorithms (and the cloud).
This way, every residence or business acts as a node in the mesh network, passing
the signal on to others, effectively eliminating at least half of the small cells
needed to serve the geographical area. Thanks to beamforming, AI and cloud-based
processing, the network can also serve mobile users, the most challenging operational
scenario of all. A year ago, there were few companies with the technology to deliver
such a solution, but the list is growing.
The Gap in the Digital Divide will Further Close
As the pandemic illustrated, everyone needs access to the Internet, and people
in rural and even urban areas either cannot afford broadband or have no access to
it., There is no excuse for this in a nation with massive resources and it has been
a problem for far too long. The President's infrastructure plan should help solve
this problem, but the most dramatic results will be delivered by millimeter-wave
systems like the ones described above. In addition, AT&T's FirstNet is also
a contributor because it has a mandate to deploy a first responder network throughout
the country. This has required the company to provide infrastructure in places Internet
providers ignored before. In addition, Starlink and other satellite communications
constellations will continue to expand, eliminate their early technical problems,
and reduce costs to the user.
The Defense Market Will Grow for RF and Microwave Manufacturers
The Department of Defense has always been a major force driving our industry
and the rivalry between America, China, and Russia is accelerating the need for
RF, microwave, and millimeter-wave components and systems. I believe this marks
a long-term trend for manufacturers of nearly all types of components and subsystems
for radar, EW, SIGINT, and other applications.
The Commercial Satellite Market Will Provide Significant Revenue to the
The commercial satellite industry is booming, from spacecraft the size of a tissue
box to larger ones, primarily operating in low Earth orbit, and they all require
significant RF and microwave content. This industry didn't even exist five years
ago, but over the next decade, it will provide big benefits for many manufacturers.
So, that's my take on some key markets I believe will play a huge role in the fortunes
of RF and microwave manufacturers in 2022.
We Can Always Find a Solution!
Anatech Electronics has been providing standard and custom RF and microwave filters
and other filter-based components to solve interference problems for utilities,
oil and gas companies, and organization with similar requirements for more than
30 years, and we can solve yours as well. So, reach out to us with your most challenging
problems at (973) 442-7272 or visit our website at
FCC Reaps a Bonanza from Latest Spectrum Auction
The FCC's Auction 110 for licenses between 3.45 and 3.55 GHz resulted in bidders
winning 4,041 of the 4,060 available blocks and gross proceeds over $21.8 billion,
among the highest-grossing auctions in FCC history. Auction 110 makes available
100 MHz of mid-band spectrum for commercial use across the contiguous United States.
License winners will operate within a cooperative sharing framework that will enable
commercial use by an array of service providers while also ensuring coexistence
with federal incumbents where and when they require continued access to the band.
Radar May Help Keep Kids Safe in Hot Cars
Radar is the latest technology being considered for determining when the temperature
in a parked car rises enough to cause harm. The FCC has given approval for automakers
to install them to detect the presence of a child in a vehicle and alert their operators
before dangerous levels have been reached. The upcoming Genesis GV70 SUV will be
the first vehicle to use them for rear seat occupants, and the company claims they
are much more sophisticated than ultrasonic sensors and sensitive enough to detect
a baby's breathing.
Interference to Vehicle Collision-Avoidance Radars
The High Traffic Safety Administration and others have found that vehicle radars
can interfere with each other, cause among other things, false positives. HTSA conducted
a "radar congestion study" to model and simulate radar interference to determine
how much power a given radar can receive from others and how this affects the performance
of a collision warning system. The results of the study show that levels of interference
in the 76-81 GHz band when operated in congested environments can be significant
because the other radars can exceed the received signal strength required for optimum
performance by several orders of magnitude.
Diabetic Woman Claims Ham's Transmitter Causes Insulin Pump to Fail
Michelle Smith, a Type 1 Diabetic in the Orlando area, has been fighting for
more than a year with her community association because she believes that her neighbor's
amateur radio transmitter is interfering with her insulin pump. She switched pumps
to no avail. The association hired a consultant who noted that the transmitter's
emissions "could have" exceeded levels the insulin pump could handle, and the neighbor
was told to shut down his station. The ham noted, however, that the station has
been sitting unplugged in his office. At the moment, the situation remains contentious,
and the community's board of directors changed the wording in its rules from defining
antennas from "a device used to receive" to one that could also "transmit."
Getting Ready for 5G:
Anatech Electronics introduce New Ka band 30.5 GHz Waveguide Band Pass Filter.
Featuring a center frequency of 30.5 GHz, a bandwidth of 1000 MHz, an Insertion
Loss 1 dB Max, and a Power Handling is 20 watts.
Anatech Electronics Introduces a New Line of Suspended Stripline and
Waveguide Type RF Filters
Check out Our Filter Products
Cavity Band Pass Filters
LC Band Pass Filters Cavity Bandstop/Notch Filter
About Anatech Electronics
Anatech Electronics, Inc. (AEI) specializes in the design and manufacture of
standard and custom RF and microwave filters and other passive components and subsystems
employed in commercial, industrial, and aerospace and applications. Products are
available from an operating frequency range of 10 kHz to 30 GHz and include cavity,
ceramic, crystal, LC, and surface acoustic wave (SAW), as well as power combiners/dividers,
duplexers and diplexers, directional couplers, terminations, attenuators, circulators,
EMI filters, and lightning arrestors. The company's custom products and capabilities
are available at www.anatechelectronics.com.
Anatech Electronics, Inc.
70 Outwater Lane
Garfield, NJ 07026
Posted September 29, 2021